Deaths in the UK are likely to outpace births every year from 2026, projections from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have found. The country’s population growth is expected to slow compared with past predictions, reaching 71 million by 2034. This is also in part due to a fall in migration.
A fall in fertility rates also means that the number of children in the UK is likely to fall over the next decade, with the number of pensioners expected to increase at a higher rate than working age adults.
Past predictions showed the UK’s population growing until 2096. Now however, “the population is projected to peak in the 2050s before decreasing,” James Robards, ONS head of household and population projections, said. The country’s population is protected to grow by 1.7 million over the decade after 2024, far slower than the growth in previous decades.
The ONS predicted 6.4 million people being born, 6.9 million deaths, 7.3 million immigrating to the UK long-term, and 5.1 million emigrating from the UK term, between 2024 and 2034. Over that 10-year period, it expects deaths to outpace births by almost half a million people.
It also emphasises that the figures for the next century and projections rather than predicts or forecasts, warning that the real numbers could change depending on future numbers of births, deaths, and migration.
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