Nvidia export restrictions trigger £4.2bn hit as US tightens chip rules to China

Nvidia export restrictions are set to cost the company around £4.2 billion, after the US government introduced tighter controls on the sale of advanced chips to China. The tech giant, best known for its role in powering artificial intelligence developments, has confirmed that a key product, the H20 chip, will now require a licence to be exported to China, including Hong Kong.
The H20 chip has been one of Nvidia’s most sought-after offerings in Asia. These new restrictions mean the company will no longer be able to sell it freely, with US officials citing concerns that the technology could be used in Chinese supercomputers. That interpretation has triggered not only a sharp drop in Nvidia’s share price, down nearly 6% in after-hours trading, but also broader questions about the global flow of technology and the deepening trade rift between Washington and Beijing.
In financial terms, Nvidia says the change will result in a $5.5bn (£4.2bn) impact, reflecting inventory write-downs, purchase commitments, and related losses. It’s a significant figure, but not one that’s likely to derail the company entirely. Analysts have suggested the figure, while steep, is manageable given Nvidia’s current position in the AI chip market.
What’s clear is that semiconductors remain a central issue in the ongoing US–China trade tensions. This isn’t the first time American export controls have targeted advanced computing parts, but the reach and permanence of this latest measure have caught the attention of global investors. As the UK and Europe work to build resilience in their own supply chains, moves like this may end up reshaping how – and where – advanced chips are designed, manufactured, and deployed.
Founded in 1993, Nvidia first rose to prominence for its work in computer graphics. But long before AI became a household concept, the firm had already started to adapt its technology to support machine learning. That foresight has placed it at the centre of today’s AI revolution, and made it a focal point for policy decisions about the future of global technology leadership.
The US move arrives just months after it emerged that China had developed new AI models at a fraction of the cost expected, raising alarm within western industry circles. The timing suggests the restrictions may not only be about national security, but also about maintaining competitiveness in a market that is evolving faster than many predicted.
Nvidia’s challenge now will be finding ways to sustain its presence in other high-demand markets while managing the regulatory uncertainty that comes with international licensing. As pressure mounts, some experts believe these latest export rules could accelerate a broader decoupling between US and Chinese semiconductor supply chains, a shift that would affect everything from data centres to consumer electronics.
For UK businesses involved in AI, data storage or cloud computing, the ripple effects of decisions like this are increasingly relevant. With demand for high-performance chips on the rise, especially for tools involving machine learning, anything that disrupts access or drives up prices has implications well beyond Silicon Valley.
You can read more about how international trade decisions are impacting domestic industries at EyeOnLondon.
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